Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Intraday Limit Order Price Change Transition Dynamics Across Market Capitalizations Through Markov Analysis

Quantitative understanding of stochastic dynamics in limit order price changes is essential for execution strategy design. We analyze intraday transition dynamics of ask and bid orders across market capitalization tiers using high-frequency NASDAQ100 tick data. Employing a discrete-time Markov chain

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  January 8, 2026

Regime Discovery and Intra-Regime Return Dynamics in Global Equity Markets

Financial markets alternate between tranquil periods and episodes of stress, and return dynamics can change substantially across these regimes. We study regime-dependent dynamics in developed and developing equity indices using a data-driven Hilbert–Huang-based regime identification and profiling pi

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 7.5 ·  January 13, 2026

Mitigating Financial Risk from Climate-Induced Agricultural Price Volatility

Agricultural price volatility, driven by market dynamics and meteorological factors such as temperature and precipitation, poses challenges for sustainable finance, planning, and policy. This study analyzes the impact of climate on crop price volatility for soybean in Madhya Pradesh (India) and Illi

Holy Grail Math 5 Rigor 7.5 ·  March 31, 2025

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