Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Data-Driven Stochastic Optimal Control for Intraday Electricity Trading by Renewable Producers

The rapid growth of weather-dependent renewable generation increases price volatility and imbalance penalty risk in power markets, creating the need for advanced quantitative trading strategies. We develop a data-driven continuous-time stochastic optimal control framework for intraday electricity tr

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7 ·  April 30, 2026

SigMA: Path Signatures and Multi-head Attention for Learning Parameters in fBm-driven SDEs

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by fractional Brownian motion (fBm) are increasingly used to model systems with rough dynamics and long-range dependence, such as those arising in quantitative finance and reliability engineering. However, these processes are non-Markovian and lack a s

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 7.5 ·  December 17, 2025

Single- and Multi-Level Fourier-RQMC Methods for Multivariate Shortfall Risk

Multivariate shortfall risk measures provide a principled framework for quantifying systemic risk and determining capital allocations prior to aggregation in interconnected financial systems. Despite their well established theoretical properties, the numerical estimation of multivariate shortfall ri

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 5.5 ·  February 6, 2026

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