Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

A Comparative Study of Factor Models for Different Periods of the Electricity Spot Price Market

Due to major shifts in European energy supply, a structural change can be observed in Austrian electricity spot price data starting from the second quarter of the year 2021 onward. In this work we study the performance of two different factor models for the electricity spot price in three different

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7 ·  June 13, 2023

Risk measures based on target risk profiles

We address the problem that classical risk measures may not detect the tail risk adequately. This can occur for instance due to averaging when calculating the Expected Shortfall. The current literature proposes the so-called adjusted Expected Shortfall as a solution. This risk measure is the supremu

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 5 ·  September 26, 2024

Multi-asset return risk measures

We revisit the recently introduced concept of return risk measures (RRMs) and extend it by incorporating risk management via multiple so-called eligible assets. The resulting new class of risk measures, termed multi-asset return risk measures (MARRMs), introduces a novel economic model for multiplic

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  November 13, 2024

PELVE from a regulatory perspective

Under Solvency II, the Value-at-Risk (VaR) is applied, although there is broad consensus that the Expected Shortfall (ES) constitutes a more appropriate risk measure. Moving towards ES would necessitate specifying the corresponding ES level. The recently introduced Probability Equivalent Level of Va

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 4.5 ·  November 5, 2025

When risk defies order: On the limits of fractional stochastic dominance

Motivated by recent work on monotone additive statistics and questions regarding optimal risk sharing for return-based risk measures, we investigate the existence, structure, and applications of Meyer risk measures. Those are monetary risk measures consistent with fractional stochastic orders sugges

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 3.5 ·  September 29, 2025

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