Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Arbitrage-Free Bond and Yield Curve Forecasting with Neural Filters under HJM Constraints

We develop an arbitrage-free deep learning framework for yield curve and bond price forecasting based on the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) term-structure model and a dynamic Nelson-Siegel parameterization of forward rates. Our approach embeds a no-arbitrage drift restriction into a neural state-space ar

Holy Grail Math 9.2 Rigor 7.5 ·  November 22, 2025

Convolution-FFT for option pricing in the Heston model

We propose a convolution-FFT method for pricing European options under the Heston model that leverages a continuously differentiable representation of the joint characteristic function. Unlike existing Fourier-based methods that rely on branch-cut adjustments or empirically tuned damping parameters,

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7 ·  December 5, 2025

Optimal annuitization with labor income under age-dependent force of mortality

We consider the problem of optimal annuitization with labour income, where an agent aims to maximize utility from consumption and labour income under age-dependent force of mortality. Using a dynamic programming approach, we derive closed-form solutions for the value function and the optimal consump

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 3 ·  October 11, 2025

Habit Formation, Labor Supply, and the Dynamics of Retirement and Annuitization

The decision to annuitize wealth in retirement planning has become increasingly complex due to rising longevity risk and changing retirement patterns, including increased labor force participation at older ages. While an extensive literature studies consumption, labor, and annuitization decisions, t

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 3 ·  February 2, 2026

Boundary error control for numerical solution of BSDEs by the convolution-FFT method

We first review the convolution fast-Fourier-transform (CFFT) approach for the numerical solution of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) introduced in (Hyndman and Oyono Ngou, 2017). We then propose a method for improving the boundary errors obtained when valuing options using this ap

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 2.5 ·  December 31, 2025

Generative Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Markets via Geometric Deep Learning

We consider the problem of simultaneously approximating the conditional distribution of market prices and their log returns with a single machine learning model. We show that an instance of the GDN model of Kratsios and Papon (2022) solves this problem without having prior assumptions on the market'

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 2.5 ·  February 17, 2023

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