Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Empirical Asset Pricing via Ensemble Gaussian Process Regression

We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the computational complexity inherent in GPR inference and lend

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  December 2, 2022

Error Propagation in Dynamic Programming: From Stochastic Control to Option Pricing

This paper investigates theoretical and methodological foundations for stochastic optimal control (SOC) in discrete time. We start formulating the control problem in a general dynamic programming framework, introducing the mathematical structure needed for a detailed convergence analysis. The associ

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 6 ·  September 24, 2025

Fixed-Income Pricing and the Replication of Liabilities

This paper develops a model-free framework for static fixed-income pricing and the replication of liability cash flows. We show that the absence of static arbitrage across a universe of fixed-income instruments is equivalent to the existence of a strictly positive discount curve that reproduces all

Lab Rats Math 7 Rigor 1.5 ·  December 16, 2025

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