Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts

We examine how large language models (LLMs) interpret historical stock returns and compare their forecasts with estimates from a crowd-sourced platform for ranking stocks. While stock returns exhibit short-term reversals, LLM forecasts over-extrapolate, placing excessive weight on recent performance

Street Traders Math 3 Rigor 8 ·  September 17, 2024

Anonymization and Information Loss

We show that while anonymization effectively obscures firm identity, it significantly reduces the power of textual understanding, thereby diminishing models’ ability to extract meaningful economic signals from financial texts. This information loss is particularly severe when numerical and object en

Street Traders Math 2 Rigor 8.5 ·  November 19, 2025

The Promise and Peril of Generative AI: Evidence from GPT as Sell-Side Analysts

Large language models (LLMs) promise to democratize financial analysis by reducing information-processing costs. Yet equal access does not ensure equal outcomes, as the locus of friction may shift from processing information to evaluating model outputs. We study GPT’s earnings forecasts following co

Street Traders Math 2.5 Rigor 8 ·  December 2, 2024

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