Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Money-Back Tontines for Retirement Decumulation: Neural-Network Optimization under Systematic Longevity Risk

Money-back guarantees (MBGs) are features of pooled retirement income products that address bequest concerns by ensuring the initial premium is returned through lifetime payments or, upon early death, as a death benefit to the estate. This paper studies optimal retirement decumulation in an individu

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8 ·  February 18, 2026

Multi-period Mean-Buffered Probability of Exceedance in Defined Contribution Portfolio Optimization

We investigate multi-period mean-risk portfolio optimization for long-horizon Defined Contribution plans, focusing on buffered Probability of Exceedance (bPoE), a more intuitive, dollar-based alternative to Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). We formulate both pre-commitment and time-consistent Mean-b

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7 ·  May 28, 2025

Spouse-Protected Tontines: Household Decumulation via Neural-Network Optimization

We develop a spouse-protected tontine in which a first death changes the household state but generates no pool transfer. The same account remains attached to the household contract until extinction and funds a spouse-only continuation phase if the retiree dies first. We derive contract-level actuari

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 7 ·  September 30, 2026

Monotone 2D Integration Scheme for Mean-CVaR Optimization via Fourier-Trained Transition Kernels

We present a strictly monotone, provably convergent two-dimensional (2D) integration method for multi-period mean-conditional value-at-risk (mean-CVaR) reward-risk stochastic control in models whose one-step increment law is specified via a closed-form characteristic function (CF). When the transiti

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  March 27, 2026

Convergence of Neural Network Policies for Risk--Reward Optimization

We develop a neural-network framework for multi-period risk–reward stochastic control problems with constrained two-step feedback policies that may be discontinuous in the state. We allow a broad class of objectives built on a finite-dimensional performance vector, including terminal and path-depen

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  March 6, 2026

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