Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

VOLatility Archive for Realized Estimates (VOLARE)

VOLARE (VOLatility Archive for Realized Estimates - https://volare.unime.it) is an open research infrastructure providing standardized realized volatility and covariance measures constructed from ultra-high-frequency financial data. The platform processes tick-level observations across equities, exc

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  February 23, 2026

Parsimonious and Flexible Parameterizations for Realized Covariance Matrix Models

Covariance models describe the dynamics of conditional covariance matrices as functions of past variances and covariances and are widely used to model the joint evolution of financial asset returns. Their specification faces two major challenges: the curse of dimensionality, whereby the number of pa

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 7 ·  November 11, 2026

Trade uncertainty impact on stock-bond correlations: Insights from conditional correlation models

This paper investigates the impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty (TPU) on stock-bond correlation dynamics in the United States. Using daily data on major U.S. stock indices and the 10-year Treasury bond from 2015 to 2025, we estimate correlation within a two-step GARCH-based framework, relying on mult

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  January 29, 2026

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