Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints

We consider the joint SPX-VIX calibration within a general class of Gaussian polynomial volatility models in which the volatility of the SPX is assumed to be a polynomial function of a Gaussian Volterra process defined as a stochastic convolution between a kernel and a Brownian motion. By performing

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 8.5 ·  December 16, 2022

Capturing Smile Dynamics with the Quintic Volatility Model: SPX, Skew-Stickiness Ratio and VIX

We introduce the two-factor Quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model, where volatility is modelled as a degree-five polynomial of the sum of two Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by the same Brownian motion, each mean-reverting at a different speed. We demonstrate that the model effectively captures

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  March 18, 2025

The Volterra Stein-Stein model with stochastic interest rates

We introduce the Volterra Stein-Stein model with stochastic interest rates, where both volatility and interest rates are driven by correlated Gaussian Volterra processes. This framework unifies various well-known Markovian and non-Markovian models while preserving analytical tractability for pricing

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  March 3, 2025

Signature approach for pricing and hedging path-dependent options with frictions

We introduce a novel signature approach for pricing and hedging path-dependent options with instantaneous and permanent market impact under a mean-quadratic variation criterion. Leveraging the expressive power of signatures, we recast an inherently nonlinear and non-Markovian stochastic control prob

Holy Grail Math 9 Rigor 7 ·  November 28, 2025

The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles

The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model is a stochastic volatility model where the volatility process is a polynomial function of degree five of a single Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with fast mean reversion and large vol-of-vol. The model is able to achieve remarkable joint fits of the SPX-VI

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 7.5 ·  December 21, 2022

Simulating integrated Volterra square-root processes and Volterra Heston models via Inverse Gaussian

We introduce a novel simulation scheme, iVi (integrated Volterra implicit), for integrated Volterra square-root processes and Volterra Heston models based on the Inverse Gaussian distribution. The scheme is designed to handle $L^1$ kernels with singularities by relying solely on integrated kernel qu

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 6 ·  April 28, 2025

Malliavin calculus for signatures with applications to finance

Malliavin calculus is a powerful and general framework for the analysis of square-integrable random variables, but it often suffers from a lack of tractability and explicit representations. To address this limitation, we focus on a subclass of random variables given by finite linear combinations of

Lab Rats Math 9.2 Rigor 4.5 ·  April 24, 2026

Reconciling rough volatility with jumps

We reconcile rough volatility models and jump models using a class of reversionary Heston models with fast mean reversions and large vol-of-vols. Starting from hyper-rough Heston models with a Hurst index $H \in (-1/2,1/2)$, we derive a Markovian approximating class of one dimensional reversionary H

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 4.5 ·  March 13, 2023

Hedging with memory: shallow and deep learning with signatures

We investigate the use of path signatures in a machine learning context for hedging exotic derivatives under non-Markovian stochastic volatility models. In a deep learning setting, we use signatures as features in feedforward neural networks and show that they outperform LSTMs in most cases, with or

Lab Rats Math 7.5 Rigor 4 ·  August 3, 2025

State spaces of multifactor approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes

We show that the state spaces of multifactor Markovian processes, coming from approximations of nonnegative Volterra processes, are given by explicit linear transformation of the nonnegative orthant. We demonstrate the usefulness of this result for applications, including simulation schemes and PDE

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 3 ·  December 23, 2024

Optimal Investment and Consumption in Financial Markets with Integrated Variance Clocks

We study the infinite-horizon optimal investment and consumption problem in a general class of continuous financial markets, where uncertainty is driven by a continuous non-decreasing stochastic clock representing accumulated variance. This framework encompasses classical Markovian and non-Markovian

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 2 ·  September 22, 2026

Martingale property and moment explosions in signature volatility models

We study the martingale property and moment explosions of a signature volatility model, where the volatility process of the log-price is given by a linear form of the signature of a time-extended Brownian motion. Excluding trivial cases, we demonstrate that the price process is a true martingale if

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 2 ·  March 21, 2025

Equilibrium in Functional Stochastic Games with Mean-Field Interaction

We consider a general class of finite-player stochastic games with mean-field interaction, in which the linear-quadratic cost functional includes linear operators acting on controls in $L^2$. We propose a novel approach for deriving the Nash equilibrium of the game semi-explicitly in terms of operat

Lab Rats Math 9.2 Rigor 1.5 ·  June 6, 2023

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