Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

HARLF: Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning and Lightweight LLM-Driven Sentiment Integration for Financial Portfolio Optimization

This paper presents a novel hierarchical framework for portfolio optimization, integrating lightweight Large Language Models (LLMs) with Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to combine sentiment signals from financial news with traditional market indicators. Our three-tier architecture employs base RL

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8 ·  July 24, 2025

Re-evaluating Short- and Long-Term Trend Factors in CTA Replication: A Bayesian Graphical Approach

Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) have historically relied on trend-following rules that operate on vastly different horizons from long-term breakouts that capture major directional moves to short-term momentum signals that thrive in fast-moving markets. Despite a large body of work on trend followi

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7 ·  July 17, 2025

Revisiting the Structure of Trend Premia: When Diversification Hides Redundancy

Recent work has emphasized the diversification benefits of combining trend signals across multiple horizons, with the medium-term window-typically six months to one year-long viewed as the “sweet spot” of trend-following. This paper revisits this conventional view by reallocating exposure dynamicall

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 7.5 ·  October 27, 2025

E-TRENDS: Enhanced LSTM Trend Forecasting for Equities

Trend-following strategies underpin many systematic trading approaches yet struggle under nonstationary and nonlinear market regimes. We propose an LSTM-based framework to forecast next-day trend differences ($Δ_t$) for the top 30 S&P 500 equities, validated across market cycles (2005–2025). Key c

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  March 15, 2026

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