Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in random global value chains

This paper is concerned with upstreamness and downstreamness of industries and countries. Upstreamness and downstreamness measure respectively the average distance of an industrial sector from final consumption and from primary inputs. Recently, Antràs and Chor reported a puzzling and counter-intuit

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7 ·  March 12, 2023

A calibrated model of debt recycling with interest costs and tax shields: viability under different fiscal regimes and jurisdictions

Debt recycling is a leveraged equity management strategy in which homeowners use accumulated home equity to finance investments, applying the resulting returns to accelerate mortgage repayment. We propose a novel framework to model equity and mortgage dynamics in presence of mortgage interest rates,

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  November 23, 2025

Cryptocurrencies in the Balance Sheet: Insights from (Micro)Strategy -- Bitcoin Interactions

This paper investigates the evolving link between cryptocurrency and equity markets in the context of the recent wave of corporate Bitcoin (BTC) treasury strategies. We assemble a dataset of 39 publicly listed firms holding BTC, from their first acquisition through April 2025. Using daily logarithmi

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 7 ·  May 20, 2025

Machine Spirits: Speculation and Adaptation of LLM Agents in Asset Markets

As Large Language Models (LLMs) become increasingly integrated into financial systems, understanding their behavioural properties is crucial. Do LLMs conform to the rational expectations paradigm, do they exhibit human-like “animal spirits”, or do they instead manifest distinct “machine spirits”? We

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  April 9, 2026

ESG Reputation Risk Matters: An Event Study Based on Social Media Data

We investigate the response of shareholders to Environmental, Social, and Governance-related reputational risk (ESG-risk), focusing exclusively on the impact of social media. Using a dataset of 114 million tweets about firms listed on the S&P100 index between 2016 and 2022, we extract conversations

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  July 21, 2023

Financial instability transition under heterogeneous investments and portfolio diversification

We analyze the stability of financial investment networks, where financial institutions hold overlapping portfolios of assets. We consider the effect of portfolio diversification and heterogeneous investments using a random matrix dynamical model driven by portfolio rebalancing. While heterogeneity

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 3 ·  January 31, 2025

Phase transitions in debt recycling

Debt recycling is an aggressive equity extraction strategy that potentially permits faster repayment of a mortgage. While equity progressively builds up as the mortgage is repaid monthly, mortgage holders may obtain another loan they could use to invest on a risky asset. The wealth produced by a suc

Lab Rats Math 7.5 Rigor 3 ·  May 29, 2024

Mapping Microscopic and Systemic Risks in TradFi and DeFi: a literature review

This work explores the formation and propagation of systemic risks across traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi), offering a comparative framework that bridges these two increasingly interconnected ecosystems. We propose a conceptual model for systemic risk formation in TradFi

Philosophers Math 2 Rigor 3 ·  August 16, 2025

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