Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

StochLOB: Heavy-Tailed Score Matching for Robust Limit Order Book Trend Prediction

Score-based diffusion methods usually perturb data with Brownian Gaussian noise, corresponding to a light-tailed forward stochastic differential equation (SDE). For market time series this SDE can be a poor abstraction: limit order book (LOB) order flow is heavy-tailed, bursty, and occasionally jump

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 8 Code ·  October 15, 2026

Certifying Reward Alignment in Portfolio Reinforcement Learning

Financial reinforcement learning often translates an investment objective into an additive risk-adjusted reward. An agent can optimise that reward accurately yet implement a different financial preference. We develop a decision audit for terminal mean-variance equilibrium that separates reward missp

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 7 Code ·  October 25, 2026

RiskReason: A Benchmark for Verifiable Financial Risk Reasoning

Robust financial-risk inference requires more than mathematical correctness. Models must accurately apply conditional rules, maintain evolving financial states, and make decisions that respect operational constraints. This work introduces RiskReason, a benchmark for verifiable financial-risk reasoni

Holy Grail Math 5 Rigor 6 ·  October 31, 2026

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