Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Evolution and determinants of firm-level systemic risk in local production networks

Recent crises like the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions have exposed vulnerabilities and caused disruptions of supply chains, leading to product shortages, increased costs, and economic instability. This has prompted increasing efforts to assess systemic risk, namely the effects of firm d

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  June 26, 2025

Inferring firm-level supply chain networks with realistic systemic risk from industry sector-level data

Production networks constitute the backbone of every economic system. They are inherently fragile as several recent crises clearly highlighted. Estimating the system-wide consequences of local disruptions (systemic risk) requires detailed information on the supply chain networks (SCN) at the firm-le

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  August 5, 2024

Modeling structure and credit risk of the economy: a multilayer bank-firm network approach

Assessing the resilience of the economy requires accounting for its intrinsic multi-layer nature, by assessing for instance how disruptions at the firm level spread through the production network and propagate to the banking sector. Methods exist to measure the reverberation of shocks over the multi

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  March 10, 2026

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