Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Modeling Bank Systemic Risk of Emerging Markets under Geopolitical Shocks: Empirical Evidence from BRICS Countries

The growing economic influence of the BRICS nations requires risk models that capture complex, long-term dynamics. This paper introduces the Bank Risk Interlinkage with Dynamic Graph and Event Simulations (BRIDGES) framework, which analyzes systemic risk based on the level of information complexity

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  December 23, 2025

Assessing Dynamic Connectedness in Global Supply Chain Infrastructure Portfolios: The Impact of Risk Factors and Extreme Events

This paper analyses the risk factors around investing in global supply chain infrastructure: the energy market, investor sentiment, and global shipping costs. It presents portfolio strategies associated with dynamic risks. A time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model is used to stu

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 8 ·  August 6, 2025

Dynamic Risk in the U.S. Banking System: An Analysis of Sentiment, Policy Shocks, and Spillover Effects

The 2023 U.S. banking crisis propagated not through direct financial linkages but through a high-frequency, information-based contagion channel. This paper moves beyond exploration analysis to test the “too-similar-to-fail” hypothesis, arguing that risk spillovers were driven by perceived similariti

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  January 5, 2026

Event-Driven Market Co-Movement Dynamics in Critical Mineral Equities: An Empirical Framework Using Change Point Detection and Cross-Sectional Analysis

This study examines market behavior in critical mineral investments using a novel analytical framework that combines change-point detection (PELT algorithm) with cross-sectional analysis. This research analyzes ESG-ranked critical mineral ETFs from March 31, 2014, to April 19, 2024, using the S&P 50

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  January 15, 2026

Market Reactions and Information Spillovers in Bank Mergers: A Multi-Method Analysis of the Japanese Banking Sector

Major bank mergers and acquisitions (M&A) transform the financial market structure, but their valuation and spillover effects remain open to question. This study examines the market reaction to two M&A events: the 2005 creation of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group following the Financial Big Bang in Ja

Street Traders Math 4 Rigor 6 ·  December 6, 2025

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