Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Proactive Market Making and Liquidity Analysis for Everlasting Options in DeFi Ecosystems

Everlasting options, a relatively new class of perpetual financial derivatives, have emerged to tackle the challenges of rolling contracts and liquidity fragmentation in decentralized finance markets. This paper offers an in-depth analysis of markets for everlasting options, modeled using a dynamic

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 8 ·  August 9, 2025

Who Restores the Peg? A Mean-Field Game Approach to Model Stablecoin Market Dynamics

USDC and USDT are the dominant stablecoins pegged to $1 with a total market capitalization of over $300B and rising. Stablecoins make dollar value globally accessible with secure transfer and settlement. Yet in practice, these stablecoins experience periods of stress and de-pegging from their $1

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 7 ·  January 26, 2026

Do Prediction Markets Forecast Cryptocurrency Volatility? Evidence from Kalshi Macro Contracts

Daily probability changes in Kalshi macro prediction markets forecast cryptocurrency realized volatility through two distinct channels. The monetary policy channel, measured by Fed rate repricing on KXFED contracts, predicts Bitcoin volatility in sample with t = 3.63 and p < 0.001 but exhibits regim

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  April 1, 2026

Modeling and Analysis of Crypto-Backed Over-Collateralized Stable Derivatives in DeFi

In decentralized finance (DeFi), stablecoins like DAI are designed to offer a stable value amidst the fluctuating nature of cryptocurrencies. We examine the class of crypto-backed stable derivatives, with a focus on mechanisms for price stabilization, which is exemplified by the well-known stablecoi

Lab Rats Math 5.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  February 28, 2024

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