Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

MarketGANs: Multivariate financial time-series data augmentation using generative adversarial networks

This paper introduces MarketGAN, a factor-based generative framework for high-dimensional asset return generation under severe data scarcity. We embed an explicit asset-pricing factor structure as an economic inductive bias and generate returns as a single joint vector, thereby preserving cross-sect

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  January 25, 2026

Diffolio: A Diffusion Model for Multivariate Probabilistic Financial Time-Series Forecasting and Portfolio Construction

Probabilistic forecasting is crucial in multivariate financial time-series for constructing efficient portfolios that account for complex cross-sectional dependencies. In this paper, we propose Diffolio, a diffusion model designed for multivariate financial time-series forecasting and portfolio cons

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 6 ·  November 10, 2025

Breaking the Dimensional Barrier: Dynamic Portfolio Choice with Parameter Uncertainty via Pontryagin Projection

We study continuous-time portfolio choice in diffusion markets with parameter $θ\in Θ$ and uncertainty law $q(dθ)$. Nature draws latent $θ\sim q$ at time 0; the investor cannot observe it and must deploy a single $θ$-blind feedback policy maximizing an ex-ante CRRA objective averaged over diffusion

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 4 ·  January 6, 2026

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