Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

A Framework for Predictive Directional Trading Based on Volatility and Causal Inference

Purpose: This study introduces a novel framework for identifying and exploiting predictive lead-lag relationships in financial markets. We propose an integrated approach that combines advanced statistical methodologies with machine learning models to enhance the identification and exploitation of pr

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7 ·  July 12, 2025

A Comparative Analysis of Statistical and Machine Learning Models for Outlier Detection in Bitcoin Limit Order Books

The detection of outliers within cryptocurrency limit order books (LOBs) is of paramount importance for comprehending market dynamics, particularly in highly volatile and nascent regulatory environments. This study conducts a comprehensive comparative analysis of robust statistical methods and advan

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 6.5 ·  July 20, 2025

AgenticAITA: A Proof-Of-Concept About Deliberative Multi-Agent Reasoning for Autonomous Trading Systems

Conventional algorithmic trading systems are grounded in deterministic heuristics or offline-trained statistical models that cannot adapt to the semantic complexity of rapidly shifting market regimes. This paper introduces AGENTICAITA, an agentic AI framework that replaces the traditional signal the

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 5.5 ·  May 1, 2026

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