Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

On the project risk baseline: integrating aleatory uncertainty into project scheduling

Obtaining a viable schedule baseline that meets all project constraints is one of the main issues for project managers. The literature on this topic focuses mainly on methods to obtain schedules that meet resource restrictions and, more recently, financial limitations. The methods provide different

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  May 31, 2024

Beyond probability-impact matrices in project risk management: A quantitative methodology for risk prioritisation

The project managers who deal with risk management are often faced with the difficult task of determining the relative importance of the various sources of risk that affect the project. This prioritisation is crucial to direct management efforts to ensure higher project profitability. Risk matrices

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 5.5 ·  May 31, 2024

Stochastic Earned Value Analysis using Monte Carlo Simulation and Statistical Learning Techniques

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies. More specifically, the approach uses extensive Monte Carlo simu

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 5 ·  May 31, 2024

Project Risk Management from the bottom-up: Activity Risk Index

Project managers need to manage risks throughout the project lifecycle and, thus, need to know how changes in activity durations influence project duration and risk. We propose a new indicator (the Activity Risk Index, ARI) that measures the contribution of each activity to the total project risk wh

Philosophers Math 3.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  May 31, 2024

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