Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

The Virtue of Sparsity in Complexity

Sparsity or complexity? In modern high-dimensional asset pricing, these are often viewed as competing principles: richer feature spaces appear to favor complexity, while economic intuition has long favored parsimony. We show that this tension is misplaced. We distinguish capacity sparsity-the dimens

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  April 1, 2026

Wasserstein-Kelly Portfolios: A Robust Data-Driven Solution to Optimize Portfolio Growth

We introduce a robust variant of the Kelly portfolio optimization model, called the Wasserstein-Kelly portfolio optimization. Our model, taking a Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) formulation, addresses the fundamental issue of estimation error in Kelly portfolio optimization by

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 7 ·  February 27, 2023

Sampler-Robust Optimization under Generative Models

Modern stochastic optimization pipelines increasingly rely on learned generative models to represent uncertainty, while downstream decisions are evaluated almost entirely through Monte Carlo scenarios. This shifts the operational object of uncertainty from an explicit probability law to the sampler

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 6 ·  April 1, 2026

Generative Adversarial Regression (GAR): Learning Conditional Risk Scenarios

We propose Generative Adversarial Regression (GAR), a framework for learning conditional risk scenarios through generators aligned with downstream risk objectives. GAR builds on a regression characterization of conditional risk for elicitable functionals, including quantiles, expectiles, and jointly

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  March 9, 2026

Conditional Risk Minimization with Side Information: A Tractable, Universal Optimal Transport Framework

Conditional risk minimization arises in high-stakes decisions where risk must be assessed in light of side information, such as stressed economic conditions, specific customer profiles, or other contextual covariates. Constructing reliable conditional distributions from limited data is notoriously d

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 3 ·  September 27, 2025

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