Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Class of topological portfolios: Are they better than classical portfolios?

Topological Data Analysis (TDA), an emerging field in investment sciences, harnesses mathematical methods to extract data features based on shape, offering a promising alternative to classical portfolio selection methodologies. We utilize persistence landscapes, a type of summary statistics for pers

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7 ·  January 7, 2026

Foundation Time-Series AI Model for Realized Volatility Forecasting

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series domains, including financial data. In this study, we evalua

Holy Grail Math 5 Rigor 8 ·  May 16, 2025

Time-Series Foundation AI Model for Value-at-Risk Forecasting

This study is the first to analyze the performance of a time-series foundation AI model for Value-at-Risk (VaR), which essentially forecasts the left-tail quantiles of returns. Foundation models, pre-trained on diverse datasets, can be applied in a zero-shot setting with minimal data or further impr

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  October 15, 2024

Classifying and Clustering Trading Agents

The rapid development of sophisticated machine learning methods, together with the increased availability of financial data, has the potential to transform financial research, but also poses a challenge in terms of validation and interpretation. A good case study is the task of classifying financial

Street Traders Math 4 Rigor 8 ·  May 27, 2025

Optimum Output Long Short-Term Memory Cell for High-Frequency Trading Forecasting

High-frequency trading requires fast data processing without information lags for precise stock price forecasting. This high-paced stock price forecasting is usually based on vectors that need to be treated as sequential and time-independent signals due to the time irregularities that are inherent i

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  April 17, 2023

Prospects of Imitating Trading Agents in the Stock Market

In this work we show how generative tools, which were successfully applied to limit order book data, can be utilized for the task of imitating trading agents. To this end, we propose a modified generative architecture based on the state-space model, and apply it to limit order book data with identif

Lab Rats Math 6.5 Rigor 2.5 ·  August 31, 2025

Agent-based model of information diffusion in the limit order book trading

There are multiple explanations for stylized facts in high-frequency trading, including adaptive and informed agents, many of which have been studied through agent-based models. This paper investigates an alternative explanation by examining whether, and under what circumstances, interactions betwee

Philosophers Math 3 Rigor 4 ·  August 28, 2025

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