Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Common Signals, Spurious Cross-Excitation, and Identification in Multivariate Hawkes Processes

Multivariate Hawkes models are widely used to measure endogenous interactions in event data, but latent common signals can generate apparent excitation even without structural interaction. We characterize the resulting linear projection and construct stable, nonnegative Hawkes processes that share t

Holy Grail Math 9 Rigor 7 ·  October 14, 2026

A Spread-Gated Hawkes-Flocking Model for Best Bid and Ask Dynamics, with an Application to Limit Order Placement

We study the joint dynamics of the best bid and ask prices with a spread-gated Hawkes-flocking model. The model tracks four types of best-quote movements: spread-narrowing movements are switched off when the spread is at its one-tick minimum, and a cross-side excitation term, whose activation depend

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 7 ·  September 29, 2026

A Topological Approach to Parameterizing Deep Hedging Networks

Deep hedging uses recurrent neural networks to hedge financial products that cannot be fully hedged in incomplete markets. Previous work in this area focuses on minimizing some measure of quadratic hedging error by calculating pathwise gradients, but doing so requires large batch sizes and can make

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  October 19, 2025

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