Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Beyond the Numbers: Causal Effects of Financial Report Sentiment on Bank Profitability

This study establishes the causal effects of market sentiment on firm profitability, moving beyond traditional correlational analyses. It leverages a causal forest machine learning methodology to control for numerous confounding variables, enabling systematic analysis of heterogeneity and non-linear

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  February 19, 2026

The Information Dynamics of Insider Intent: How Reporting Inversions (Form 144) Mask Informational Rents in Insider Sales (Form 4)

This study identifies and quantifies a significant informational friction embedded in the SEC Form 144 disclosure regime, characterized as predictive decoupling. Drawing on a theoretical foundation of welfare economics, the article argues that the current reporting inversion – where trade execution

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 8 ·  February 19, 2026

The Strategic Gap: How AI-Driven Timing and Complexity Shape Investor Trust in the Age of Digital Agents

Traditional models of market efficiency assume that equity prices incorporate information based on content alone, often neglecting the structural influence of reporting timing and cadence. This study introduces the Autonomous Disclosure Regulator, a multi-node AI framework designed to audit the inte

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  February 19, 2026

Detecting and Explaining Unlawful Insider Trading: A Shapley Value and Causal Forest Approach to Identifying Key Drivers and Causal Relationships

Corporate insiders trade for diverse reasons, often possessing Material Non-Public Information (MNPI). Determining whether specific trades leverage MNPI is a significant challenge due to inherent complexity. This study focuses on two critical objectives: accurately detecting Unlawful Insider Trading

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  February 23, 2026

An extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Trees approach to Detect and Identify Unlawful Insider Trading (UIT) Transactions

Corporate insiders have control of material non-public preferential information (MNPI). Occasionally, the insiders strategically bypass legal and regulatory safeguards to exploit MNPI in their execution of securities trading. Due to a large volume of transactions a detection of unlawful insider trad

Philosophers Math 2.5 Rigor 4 ·  November 11, 2025

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