Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Intraday Limit Order Price Change Transition Dynamics Across Market Capitalizations Through Markov Analysis

Quantitative understanding of stochastic dynamics in limit order price changes is essential for execution strategy design. We analyze intraday transition dynamics of ask and bid orders across market capitalization tiers using high-frequency NASDAQ100 tick data. Employing a discrete-time Markov chain

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  January 8, 2026

Early-Warning Signals of Political Risk in Stablecoin Markets: Human and Algorithmic Behavior Around the 2024 U.S. Election

We study how the 2024 U.S. presidential election, viewed as a major political risk event, affected cryptocurrency markets by distinguishing human-driven peer-to-peer stablecoin transactions from automated algorithmic activity. Using structural break analysis, we find that human-driven Ethereum Reque

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  November 30, 2025

Structural Dynamics of G5 Stock Markets During Exogenous Shocks: A Random Matrix Theory-Based Complexity Gap Approach

We identify a robust structural signature of stock markets during exogenous shock events by analyzing collective return dynamics across G5 countries. Using Random Matrix Theory, we introduce the complexity gap, defined as the difference between the normalized largest eigenvalue and the average pairw

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  April 1, 2026

Regime Discovery and Intra-Regime Return Dynamics in Global Equity Markets

Financial markets alternate between tranquil periods and episodes of stress, and return dynamics can change substantially across these regimes. We study regime-dependent dynamics in developed and developing equity indices using a data-driven Hilbert–Huang-based regime identification and profiling pi

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 7.5 ·  January 13, 2026

Core-Periphery Dynamics in Market-Conditioned Financial Networks: A Conditional P-Threshold Mutual Information Approach

This study investigates how financial market structure reorganizes during the COVID-19 crash using a conditional p-threshold mutual information (MI) based Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) framework. We analyze nonlinear dependencies among the largest stocks from four diverse QUAD countries: the US, Japan

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 6.5 ·  January 1, 2026

Universal Patterns in the Blockchain: Analysis of EOAs and Smart Contracts in ERC20 Token Networks

Scaling laws offer a powerful lens to understand complex transactional behaviors in decentralized systems. This study reveals distinctive statistical signatures in the transactional dynamics of ERC20 tokens on the Ethereum blockchain by examining over 44 million token transfers between July 2017 and

Street Traders Math 3 Rigor 7 ·  August 6, 2025

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