Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Forecasting duration in high-frequency financial data using a self-exciting flexible residual point process

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge for accurate prediction. The proposed approach incorporates

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 7.5 ·  April 1, 2026

Multi-kernel property in high-frequency price dynamics under Hawkes model

This study investigates and uses multi-kernel Hawkes models to describe a high-frequency mid-price process. Each kernel represents a different responsive speed of market participants. Using the conditional Hessian, we examine whether the numerical optimizer effectively finds the global maximum of th

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 7 ·  February 23, 2023

Recurrent neural network based parameter estimation of Hawkes model on high-frequency financial data

This study examines the use of a recurrent neural network for estimating the parameters of a Hawkes model based on high-frequency financial data, and subsequently, for computing volatility. Neural networks have shown promising results in various fields, and interest in finance is also growing. Our a

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  April 24, 2023

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