Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

The Impact of Implicit Government Guarantee on Credit Rating of Municipal Investment Bonds

One type of bond with the most implicit government guarantee is municipal investment bonds. In recent years, there have been an increasing number of downgrades in the credit ratings of municipal bonds, which has led some people to question whether the implicit government guarantee may affect the obj

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 5.5 ·  September 21, 2024

Naive Markowitz Policies

We study a continuous-time Markowitz mean-variance portfolio selection model in which a naive agent, unaware of the underlying time-inconsistency, continuously reoptimizes over time. We define the resulting naive policies through the limit of discretely naive policies that are committed only in very

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 2.5 ·  December 14, 2022

A Method for Evaluating the Interpretability of Machine Learning Models in Predicting Bond Default Risk Based on LIME and SHAP

Interpretability analysis methods for artificial intelligence models, such as LIME and SHAP, are widely used, though they primarily serve as post-model for analyzing model outputs. While it is commonly believed that the transparency and interpretability of AI models diminish as their complexity incr

Street Traders Math 3 Rigor 5.5 ·  February 26, 2025

Implicit Government Guarantee Measurement Based on PMC Index Model

The implicit government guarantee hampers the recognition and management of risks by all stakeholders in the bond market, and it has led to excessive debt for local governments or state-owned enterprises. To prevent the risk of local government debt defaults and reduce investors’ expectations of imp

Street Traders Math 2.5 Rigor 5.5 ·  September 19, 2024

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