Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

A stochastic SIR model for cyber contagion: application to granular growth of firms and to insurance portfolio

This work evaluates the impact of contagious cyber-events, over a finite horizon, on firms’ financial health and on a cyber insurance portfolio. Our approach builds on key empirical findings from economics and cybersecurity. In economics, firm size and growth-rate distributions are non-Gaussian and

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7 ·  March 16, 2026

Modeling the impact of Climate transition on real estate prices

In this work, we propose a model to quantify the impact of the climate transition on a property in housing market. We begin by noting that property is an asset in an economy. That economy is organized in sectors, driven by its productivity which is a multidimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, whil

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 5.5 ·  August 5, 2024

Propagation of a carbon price in a credit portfolio through macroeconomic factors

We study how the climate transition through a low-carbon economy, implemented by carbon pricing, propagates in a credit portfolio and precisely describe how carbon price dynamics affects credit risk measures such as probability of default, expected and unexpected losses. We adapt a stochastic multis

Lab Rats Math 7 Rigor 4.5 ·  July 24, 2023

Impact of Climate transition on Credit portfolio's loss with stochastic collateral

The aim of this work is to propose an end-by-end modeling framework to evaluate the risk measures of a bank’s portfolio of collateralized loans in an economy subject to the climate transition. The economy, organized in sectors, is driven by a multidimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) productivity pro

Lab Rats Math 7.5 Rigor 3 ·  August 12, 2024

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