Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Filtering in a hazard rate change-point model with financial and life-insurance applications

This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a firm or the mortality rate of an individual may experience a

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 3 ·  May 19, 2025

Optimal Annuitization with stochastic mortality: Piecewise Deterministic Mortality Force

This paper addresses the problem of determining the optimal time for an individual to convert retirement savings into a lifetime annuity. The individual invests their wealth into a dividend-paying fund that follows the dynamics of a geometric Brownian motion, exposing them to market risk. At the sam

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 2.5 ·  September 16, 2025

Optimal Annuitization Time under a Mortality Shock

In this paper, we derive explicit closed-form solutions for the value function and the associated optimal stopping boundaries in an optimal annuitization problem under a mortality shock. We consider an individual whose retirement wealth is invested in a financial fund following the dynamics of a geo

Lab Rats Math 7.5 Rigor 2.5 ·  April 10, 2026

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