Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Co-trading networks for modeling dynamic interdependency structures and estimating high-dimensional covariances in US equity markets

The time proximity of trades across stocks reveals interesting topological structures of the equity market in the United States. In this article, we investigate how such concurrent cross-stock trading behaviors, which we denote as co-trading, shape the market structures and affect stock price co-mov

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  February 18, 2023

DeFi: data-driven characterisation of Uniswap v3 ecosystem & an ideal crypto law for liquidity pools

Uniswap is a Constant Product Market Maker built around liquidity pools, where pairs of tokens are exchanged subject to a fee that is proportional to the size of transactions. At the time of writing, there exist more than 6,000 pools associated with Uniswap v3, implying that empirical investigations

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  December 20, 2022

Forecasting Intraday Volume in Equity Markets with Machine Learning

This study focuses on forecasting intraday trading volumes, a crucial component for portfolio implementation, especially in high-frequency (HF) trading environments. Given the current scarcity of flexible methods in this area, we employ a suite of machine learning (ML) models enriched with numerous

Holy Grail Math 6 Rigor 7.5 ·  May 13, 2025

A Bipartite Graph Approach to U.S.-China Cross-Market Return Forecasting

This paper studies cross-market return predictability through a machine learning framework that preserves economic structure. Exploiting the non-overlapping trading hours of the U.S. and Chinese equity markets, we construct a directed bipartite graph that captures time-ordered predictive linkages be

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  March 11, 2026

ClusterLOB: Enhancing Trading Strategies by Clustering Orders in Limit Order Books

In the rapidly evolving world of financial markets, understanding the dynamics of limit order book (LOB) is crucial for unraveling market microstructure and participant behavior. We introduce ClusterLOB as a method to cluster individual market events in a stream of market-by-order (MBO) data into di

Street Traders Math 4 Rigor 8.5 ·  April 29, 2025

Can LLM-based Financial Investing Strategies Outperform the Market in Long Run?

Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently been leveraged for asset pricing tasks and stock trading applications, enabling AI agents to generate investment decisions from unstructured financial data. However, most evaluations of LLM timing-based investing strategies are conducted on narrow timeframe

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 8 ·  May 11, 2025

JaxMARL-HFT: GPU-Accelerated Large-Scale Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for High-Frequency Trading

Agent-based modelling (ABM) approaches for high-frequency financial markets are difficult to calibrate and validate, partly due to the large parameter space created by defining fixed agent policies. Multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) enables more realistic agent behaviour and reduces the numb

Street Traders Math 4 Rigor 8 ·  November 3, 2025

OFTER: An Online Pipeline for Time Series Forecasting

We introduce OFTER, a time series forecasting pipeline tailored for mid-sized multivariate time series. OFTER utilizes the non-parametric models of k-nearest neighbors and Generalized Regression Neural Networks, integrated with a dimensionality reduction component. To circumvent the curse of dimensi

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  April 8, 2023

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