Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Option Pricing on Automated Market Maker Tokens

We derive the stochastic price process for tokens whose sole price discovery mechanism is a constant-product automated market maker (AMM). When the net flow into the pool follows a diffusion, the token price follows a constant elasticity of variance (CEV) process, nesting Black-Scholes as the limiti

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8 ·  March 31, 2026

Common Risk Factors in Decentralized AI Subnets

I derive a size premium from the constant-product automated market maker used to price Bittensor subnet tokens and test the prediction using daily data on 128 subnets. A small-minus-big factor earns 1.01% daily (Newey-West t = 3.28). The December 2025 halving of token emissions, which the theory pre

Holy Grail Math 5.5 Rigor 8 ·  March 31, 2026

Markets are competitive if and only if P != NP

I prove that competitive market outcomes require computational intractability. If P = NP, firms can efficiently solve the collusion detection problem, identifying deviations from cooperative agreements in complex, noisy markets and thereby making collusion sustainable as an equilibrium. If P != NP,

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 2.5 ·  February 23, 2026

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