Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Detecting Rough Volatility: A Filtering Approach

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its current level and, possibly, the parameters governing its dynami

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 5.5 ·  February 24, 2023

If Not Now, Then When? Model Risk in the Optimal Exercise of American Options

Model risk arises from the misspecification of probabilistic models used for pricing and hedging derivatives. While model risk for European-style claims has been widely studied, much less attention has been given to American-style derivatives and the associated optimal stopping problems. This paper

Lab Rats Math 6.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  March 20, 2026

Playing with Fire? A Mean Field Game Analysis of Fire Sales and Systemic Risk under Regulatory Capital Constraints

We study the impact of regulatory capital constraints on fire sales and financial stability in a large banking system using a mean field game model. In our model banks adjust their holdings of a risky asset via trading strategies with finite trading rate in order to maximize expected profits. Moreov

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 3 ·  June 25, 2024

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