Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Predicting Market Troughs: A Machine Learning Approach with Causal Interpretation

This paper provides robust, new evidence on the causal drivers of market troughs. We demonstrate that conclusions about these triggers are critically sensitive to model specification, moving beyond restrictive linear models with a flexible DML average partial effect causal machine learning framework

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 9 ·  September 7, 2025

Dependency Network-Based Portfolio Design with Forecasting and VaR Constraints

This study proposes a novel portfolio optimization framework that integrates statistical social network analysis with time series forecasting and risk management. Using daily stock data from the S&P 500 (2020-2024), we construct dependency networks via Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Forecast Error

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 8.5 ·  July 26, 2025

Enhancing Trading Performance Through Sentiment Analysis with Large Language Models: Evidence from the S&P 500

This study integrates real-time sentiment analysis from financial news, GPT-2 and FinBERT, with technical indicators and time-series models like ARIMA and ETS to optimize S&P 500 trading strategies. By merging sentiment data with momentum and trend-based metrics, including a benchmark buy-and-hold a

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  July 13, 2025

Browse

All authors · Research topics · Papers with code · Download the scored dataset

📬 The Quant Space Weekly

One email a week: the most interesting quant finance papers, scored and summarized. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.