Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Measuring Financial Resilience Using Backward Stochastic Differential Equations

We introduce the resilience rate as a measure of financial resilience. It captures the expected rate at which a dynamic risk measure recovers, i.e., bounces back, when the risk-acceptance set is breached. We develop the corresponding stochastic calculus by establishing representation theorems for ex

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 2 ·  May 12, 2025

Elicitability of Return Risk Measures

Informally, a risk measure is said to be elicitable if there exists a suitable scoring function such that minimizing its expected value recovers the risk measure. In this paper, we analyze the elicitability properties of the class of return risk measures (i.e., normalized, monotone and positively ho

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 2 ·  February 25, 2023

Geometric BSDEs

We introduce and develop the concepts of Geometric Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (GBSDEs, for short) and two-driver BSDEs. We demonstrate their natural suitability for modeling continuous-time dynamic return risk measures. We characterize a broad spectrum of associated, auxiliary ordina

Lab Rats Math 9.5 Rigor 1.5 ·  May 15, 2024

Dynamic Return and Star-Shaped Risk Measures via BSDEs

This paper establishes characterization results for dynamic return and star-shaped risk measures induced via backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). We first characterize a general family of static star-shaped functionals in a locally convex Fréchet lattice. Next, employing the Pasch-Hau

Lab Rats Math 9.5 Rigor 1.5 ·  July 7, 2023

A Rank-Dependent Theory for Decision under Risk and Ambiguity

This paper axiomatizes, in a two-stage setup, a new theory for decision under risk and ambiguity. The axiomatized preference relation $\succeq$ on the space $\tilde{V}$ of random variables induces an ambiguity index $c$ on the space $Δ$ of probabilities, a probability weighting function $ψ$, generat

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 2 ·  December 10, 2023

Law-Invariant Return and Star-Shaped Risk Measures

This paper presents novel characterization results for classes of law-invariant star-shaped functionals. We begin by establishing characterizations for positively homogeneous and star-shaped functionals that exhibit second- or convex-order stochastic dominance consistency. Building on these characte

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 1.5 ·  October 30, 2023

Generalized Orlicz premia

We introduce a generalized version of Orlicz premia, based on possibly non-convex loss functions. We show that this generalized definition covers a variety of relevant examples, such as the geometric mean and the expectiles, while at the same time retaining a number of relevant properties. We establ

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 1.5 ·  July 12, 2025

Higher-Order Ambiguity Attitudes

We introduce a model-free preference under ambiguity, as a primitive trait of behavior, which we apply once as well as repeatedly. Its single and double application yield simple, easily interpretable definitions of ambiguity aversion and ambiguity prudence. We derive their implications within canoni

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 1.5 ·  January 22, 2025

On Geometrically Convex Risk Measures

Geometrically convex functions constitute an interesting class of functions obtained by replacing the arithmetic mean with the geometric mean in the definition of convexity. As recently suggested, geometric convexity may be a sensible property for financial risk measures ([7,13,4]). We introduce a n

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 1.5 ·  March 10, 2024

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