Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

FuNVol: A Multi-Asset Implied Volatility Market Simulator using Functional Principal Components and Neural SDEs

We introduce a new approach for generating sequences of implied volatility (IV) surfaces across multiple assets that is faithful to historical prices. We do so using a combination of functional data analysis and neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) combined with a probability integral tra

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 8.5 ·  March 1, 2023

Deep Learning and Elicitability for McKean-Vlasov FBSDEs With Common Noise

We present a novel numerical method for solving McKean-Vlasov forward-backward stochastic differential equations (MV-FBSDEs) with common noise, combining Picard iterations, elicitability and deep learning. The key innovation involves elicitability to derive a path-wise loss function, enabling effici

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 7 ·  December 16, 2025

Kullback-Leibler Barycentre of Stochastic Processes

We consider the problem where an agent aims to combine the views and insights of different experts’ models. Specifically, each expert proposes a diffusion process over a finite time horizon. The agent then combines the experts’ models by minimising the weighted Kullback–Leibler divergence to each o

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 6 ·  July 5, 2024

Robust Risk-Aware Option Hedging

The objectives of option hedging/trading extend beyond mere protection against downside risks, with a desire to seek gains also driving agent’s strategies. In this study, we showcase the potential of robust risk-aware reinforcement learning (RL) in mitigating the risks associated with path-dependent

Holy Grail Math 7 Rigor 6.5 ·  March 27, 2023

Deep reinforcement learning for optimal trading with partial information

Reinforcement Learning (RL) applied to financial problems has been the subject of a lively area of research. The use of RL for optimal trading strategies that exploit latent information in the market is, to the best of our knowledge, not widely tackled. In this paper we study an optimal trading prob

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 6 ·  October 31, 2025

Deviations from Tradition: Stylized Facts in the Era of DeFi

Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs) are now a significant component of the financial world where billions of dollars are traded daily. Differently from traditional markets, which are typically based on Limit Order Books, DEXs typically work as Automated Market Makers, and, since the implementation of Uni

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 8 ·  October 26, 2025

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Greenhouse Gas Offset Credit Markets

Climate change is a major threat to the future of humanity, and its impacts are being intensified by excess man-made greenhouse gas emissions. One method governments can employ to control these emissions is to provide firms with emission limits and penalize any excess emissions above the limit. Exce

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 6 ·  April 15, 2025

Optimal Trading in Automated Market Makers with Deep Learning

This article explores the optimisation of trading strategies in Constant Function Market Makers (CFMMs) and centralised exchanges. We develop a model that accounts for the interaction between these two markets, estimating the conditional dependence between variables using the concept of conditional

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 4.5 ·  April 5, 2023

Model Combination in Risk Sharing under Ambiguity

We consider the problem of an agent who faces losses in continuous time over a finite time horizon and may choose to share some of these losses with a counterparty. The agent is uncertain about the true loss distribution and has multiple models for the losses. Their goal is to optimize a mean-varian

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 4 ·  April 3, 2025

Equilibrium Liquidity and Risk Offsetting in Decentralised Markets

We develop an economic model of decentralised exchanges (DEXs) in which risk-averse liquidity providers (LPs) manage risk in a centralised exchange (CEX) based on preferences, information, and trading costs. Rational, risk-averse LPs anticipate the frictions associated with replication and manage ri

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 2 ·  December 22, 2025

Optimal Robust Reinsurance with Multiple Insurers

We study a reinsurer who faces multiple sources of model uncertainty. The reinsurer offers contracts to $n$ insurers whose claims follow compound Poisson processes representing both idiosyncratic and systemic sources of loss. As the reinsurer is uncertain about the insurers’ claim severity distribut

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 2 ·  August 22, 2023

The Price of Information

When an investor is faced with the option to purchase additional information regarding an asset price, how much should she pay? To address this question, we solve for the indifference price of information in a setting where a trader maximizes her expected utility of terminal wealth over a finite tim

Lab Rats Math 7.5 Rigor 2 ·  February 19, 2024

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