Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Predicting Stock Market Crash with Bayesian Generalised Pareto Regression

This paper develops a Bayesian Generalised Pareto Regression (GPR) model to forecast extreme losses in Indian equity markets, with a focus on the Nifty 50 index. Extreme negative returns, though rare, can cause significant financial disruption, and accurate modelling of such events is essential for

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8 ·  June 21, 2025

Mitigating Financial Risk from Climate-Induced Agricultural Price Volatility

Agricultural price volatility, driven by market dynamics and meteorological factors such as temperature and precipitation, poses challenges for sustainable finance, planning, and policy. This study analyzes the impact of climate on crop price volatility for soybean in Madhya Pradesh (India) and Illi

Holy Grail Math 5 Rigor 7.5 ·  March 31, 2025

Understanding the Effect of Market Risks on New Pension System and Government Responsibility

This study examines how market risks impact the sustainability and performance of the New Pension System (NPS). NPS relies on defined contributions from both employees and employers to build a corpus during the employee’s service period. Upon retirement, employees use the corpus fund to sustain thei

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 5.5 ·  August 23, 2024

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