Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

An Integrated Approach to Importance Sampling and Machine Learning for Efficient Monte Carlo Estimation of Distortion Risk Measures in Black Box Models

Distortion risk measures play a critical role in quantifying risks associated with uncertain outcomes. Accurately estimating these risk measures in the context of computationally expensive simulation models that lack analytical tractability is fundamental to effective risk management and decision ma

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 6.5 ·  August 5, 2024

Jointly Exchangeable Collective Risk Models: Interaction, Structure, and Limit Theorems

We introduce a framework for systemic risk modeling in insurance portfolios using jointly exchangeable arrays, extending classical collective risk models to account for interactions. Joint exchangeability is a more general probabilistic symmetric than de Finetti’s exchangeability, characterized by t

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  April 2, 2025

Robust portfolio selection under Recovery Average Value at Risk

We study mean-risk optimal portfolio problems where risk is measured by Recovery Average Value at Risk, a prominent example in the class of recovery risk measures. We establish existence results in the situation where the joint distribution of portfolio assets is known as well as in the situation wh

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 2.5 ·  March 2, 2023

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