Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Extreme Value Analysis for Finite, Multivariate and Correlated Systems with Finance as an Example

Extreme values and the tail behavior of probability distributions are essential for quantifying and mitigating risk in complex systems of all kinds. In multivariate settings, accounting for correlations is crucial. Although extreme value analysis for infinite correlated systems remains an open chall

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  March 5, 2026

Ultrafast Extreme Events: Empirical Analysis of Mechanisms and Recovery in a Historical Perspective

To understand the emergence of Ultrafast Extreme Events (UEEs), the influence of algorithmic trading or high-frequency traders is of major interest as they make it extremely difficult to intervene and to stabilize financial markets. In an empirical analysis, we compare various characteristics of UEE

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 8 ·  September 12, 2025

Multivariate Distributions in Non-Stationary Complex Systems I: Random Matrix Model and Formulae for Data Analysis

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant variables, especially in the presence of non-stationarity. We use a g

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 5 ·  December 16, 2024

Risk Theory and Pricing of "Pay-for-Performance" Business Models

Technology trends as digitalization and Industry 4.0 initiate a growing demand for new business models. Most of this models requires a fundamental shift of operational and financial risks between seller and buyer. A key question is therefore how to include additional risk pricing and hedging. In thi

Lab Rats Math 5.5 Rigor 4.5 ·  December 19, 2022

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