Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

A Wiener Chaos Approach to Martingale Modelling and Implied Volatility Calibration

Calibration to a surface of option prices requires specifying a suitably flexible martingale model for the discounted asset price under a risk-neutral measure. Assuming Brownian noise and mean-square integrability, we construct an over-parameterized model based on the martingale representation theor

Holy Grail Math 8 Rigor 7 ·  February 18, 2026

An Ambit Field Framework for the Full Panel of Day-ahead Electricity Prices

This paper considers the often overlooked fact that electricity spot prices in individual European generation zones evolve as a high dimensional panel structure. A general continuous time framework is developed by formulating the panel as an ambit field indexed by a cylinder surface, where the cross

Holy Grail Math 8.5 Rigor 5 ·  September 21, 2025

The fine structure of electricity price volatility

We conduct the first rigorous study of electricity price volatility for the full panel of electricity prices across three European generation zones. By interpreting the observed day-ahead prices as local averages of a latent price process governed by a stochastic partial differential equation, we de

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 2 ·  May 13, 2026

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