Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

On heavy-tailed risks under Gaussian copula: the effects of marginal transformation

In this paper, we compute multivariate tail risk probabilities where the marginal risks are heavy-tailed and the dependence structure is a Gaussian copula. The marginal heavy-tailed risks are modeled using regular variation which leads to a few interesting consequences. First, as the threshold incre

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 4 ·  April 11, 2023

Measuring risk contagion in financial networks with CoVaR

The stability of a complex financial system may be assessed by measuring risk contagion between various financial institutions with relatively high exposure. We consider a financial network model using a bipartite graph of financial institutions (e.g., banks, investment companies, insurance firms) o

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 3 ·  September 27, 2023

Aggregating heavy-tailed random vectors: from finite sums to Lévy processes

The tail behavior of aggregates of heavy-tailed random vectors is known to be determined by the so-called principle of “one large jump’’, be it for finite sums, random sums, or, Lévy processes. We establish that, in fact, a more general principle is at play. Assuming that the random vectors are mult

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 1.5 ·  January 25, 2023

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