Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Fixed-point iterative algorithm for SVI model

The stochastic volatility inspired (SVI) model is widely used to fit the implied variance smile. Presently, most optimizer algorithms for the SVI model have a strong dependence on the input starting point. In this study, we develop an efficient iterative algorithm for the SVI model based on a fixed-

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 6 ·  January 19, 2023

Uncertainty in the financial market and application to forecastabnormal financial fluctuations

The integration and innovation of finance and technology have gradually transformed the financial system into a complex one. Analyses of the causesd of abnormal fluctuations in the financial market to extract early warning indicators revealed that most early warning systems are qualitative and causa

Holy Grail Math 6 Rigor 5 ·  March 19, 2024

Asset pricing under model uncertainty with discrete time and states

In this study, we consider the asset pricing under model uncertainty with discrete time and states structure. For the single-period securities model, we give a novel definition of arbitrage under a family of probability, and explore of its relationship with risk neutral probability measure. Focusing

Lab Rats Math 8.5 Rigor 1.5 ·  August 23, 2024

Discrete-time asset price bubbles with short sales prohibitions under model uncertainty

In this study, we investigate asset price bubbles in a discrete-time, discrete-state market under model uncertainty and short sales prohibitions. Building on a new fundamental theorem of asset pricing and a superhedging duality in this setting, we introduce a notion of bubble based on a novel defini

Lab Rats Math 8 Rigor 1.5 ·  December 24, 2025

Advanced Risk Prediction and Stability Assessment of Banks Using Time Series Transformer Models

This paper aims to study the prediction of the bank stability index based on the Time Series Transformer model. The bank stability index is an important indicator to measure the health status and risk resistance of financial institutions. Traditional prediction methods are difficult to adapt to comp

Philosophers Math 3.5 Rigor 2.5 ·  December 4, 2024

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