Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

On options-driven realized volatility forecasting: Information gains via rough volatility model

We examine whether model-based spot volatility estimators extracted from traded options data enhance the predictive power of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model for realized volatility. Specifically, we infer spot volatility under the rough stochastic volatility model via an iterative two-s

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8 ·  April 3, 2026

From Hypotheses to Factors: Constrained LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency Markets

LLM agents are promising tools for empirical discovery, but their flexibility can also turn discovery into uncontrolled search. We study how to use agents under a reproducible protocol through cryptocurrency factor discovery. Our framework casts the task as sequential hypothesis search: an agent rea

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 8.5 ·  April 1, 2026

Cross-Stock Predictability via LLM-Augmented Semantic Networks

Text-based financial networks are increasingly used to study cross-stock return predictability. A common approach constructs links from similarities in firms’ disclosure embeddings, but such networks often contain spurious edges because textual proximity does not necessarily imply economic connectio

Street Traders Math 4.5 Rigor 8 ·  April 1, 2026

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