Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Mislearning of Factor Risk Premia under Structural Breaks: A Misspecified Bayesian Learning Framework

While asset-pricing models increasingly recognize that factor risk premia are subject to structural change, existing literature typically assumes that investors correctly account for such instability. This paper studies how investors instead learn under a misspecified model that underestimates struc

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 8 ·  March 23, 2026

Representation Homogeneity and Systemic Instability in AI-Dominated Financial Markets: A Structural Approach

This paper investigates how similarity in the informational representation of market states among Artificial Intelligence (AI) trading agents can generate systemic instability in financial markets. We construct a structural multi-agent market model calibrated using high-frequency microstructural mom

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 5 ·  April 14, 2026

A Three--Dimensional Efficient Surface for Portfolio Optimization

The classical mean-variance framework characterizes portfolio risk solely through return variance and the covariance matrix, implicitly assuming that all relevant sources of risk are captured by second moments. In modern financial markets, however, shocks often propagate through complex networks of

Holy Grail Math 7.5 Rigor 5 ·  January 9, 2026

Entropy-Guided Multiplicative Updates: KL Projections for Multi-Factor Target Exposures

We introduce Entropy-Guided Multiplicative Updates (EGMU), a convex optimization framework for constructing multi-factor target-exposure portfolios by minimizing Kullback-Leibler divergence from a benchmark under linear factor constraints. We establish feasibility and uniqueness of strictly positive

Lab Rats Math 9 Rigor 2 ·  October 28, 2025

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