Papers, ranked by score

Ordered by a blend of empirical rigor (60%) and math complexity (40%).

Estimating Covariance for Global Minimum Variance Portfolio: A Decision-Focused Learning Approach

Portfolio optimization constitutes a cornerstone of risk management by quantifying the risk-return trade-off. Since it inherently depends on accurate parameter estimation under conditions of future uncertainty, the selection of appropriate input parameters is critical for effective portfolio constru

Holy Grail Math 9 Rigor 8 ·  August 14, 2025

THEME: Enhancing Thematic Investing with Semantic Stock Representations and Temporal Dynamics

Thematic investing, which aims to construct portfolios aligned with structural trends, remains a challenging endeavor due to overlapping sector boundaries and evolving market dynamics. A promising direction is to build semantic representations of investment themes from textual data. However, despite

Holy Grail Math 6.5 Rigor 8 ·  August 23, 2025

LLM as a Risk Manager: LLM Semantic Filtering for Lead-Lag Trading in Prediction Markets

Prediction markets provide a unique setting where event-level time series are directly tied to natural-language descriptions, yet discovering robust lead-lag relationships remains challenging due to spurious statistical correlations. We propose a hybrid two-stage causal screener to address this chal

Street Traders Math 3.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  February 4, 2026

Forecasting Future Language: Context Design for Mention Markets

Mention markets, a type of prediction market in which contracts resolve based on whether a specified keyword is mentioned during a future public event, require accurate probabilistic forecasts of keyword-mention outcomes. While recent work shows that large language models (LLMs) can generate forecas

Street Traders Math 2.5 Rigor 7.5 ·  February 4, 2026

Your AI, Not Your View: The Bias of LLMs in Investment Analysis

In finance, Large Language Models (LLMs) face frequent knowledge conflicts arising from discrepancies between their pre-trained parametric knowledge and real-time market data. These conflicts are especially problematic in real-world investment services, where a model’s inherent biases can misalign w

Street Traders Math 4 Rigor 6 ·  July 28, 2025

Evaluating LLMs in Finance Requires Explicit Bias Consideration

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly integrated into financial workflows, but evaluation practice has not kept up. Finance-specific biases can inflate performance, contaminate backtests, and make reported results useless for any deployment claim. We identify five recurring biases in financi

Street Traders Math 2 Rigor 6.5 Code ·  February 15, 2026

FinAutoRubric: Expert-Guided Automatic Rubric Generation for Evaluating Financial Research Agents

Evaluating finance research agents requires rubrics that reflect expert standards and fix the values correct as of an information cutoff. Expert-reviewed finance benchmarks rely on fixed, per-item rubrics, which are costly to extend and cannot encode each institution’s own standard. In FinAutoRubric

Philosophers ·  September 28, 2026

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