Paper: arXiv 2512.00830

Authors: Weilun Cheng, Zongxia Liang, Sheng Wang, Jianming Xia

Abstract

This paper studies a continuous-time portfolio selection problem under a general distribution of random risk aversion (RRA). We provide a complete characterization of all deterministic equilibrium strategies in closed form. Our results show that the structure of the solution depends crucially on the distribution of RRA: the equilibrium is unique (if exits) when the expectation of RRA is finite, whereas an infinite expectation leads either to infinitely many equilibria or to a unique trivial one (i.e. risk-free investment). To resolve this multiplicity of equilibria, we select, among all deterministic equilibria, the one that maximizes the objective functional at the initial time. We establish a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of such an optimal equilibrium, which is then shown to be unique and uniformly optimal. Finally, we conduct a comparative statics. Using counterexamples based on two-point distributed RRA, we demonstrate that a larger risk aversion in the sense of first-order stochastic dominance does not necessarily lead to less risky investment. Within the two-point distribution framework, we further examine the single-crossing property of equilibrium strategies and the monotonicity of the crossing time. We show that a larger risk aversion under a stronger stochastic order – the reverse hazard rate order – always leads to less risky investment. In addition, we analyze how the convex combination of independent and identically distributed RRAs influences investment.

Complexity vs Empirical Score

  • Math Complexity: 8.5/10
  • Empirical Rigor: 1.5/10
  • Quadrant: Lab Rats — theoretically deep, empirically untested

Why this score: This paper presents a highly rigorous mathematical analysis of continuous-time portfolio selection with random risk aversion, establishing closed-form characterizations of equilibria and addressing time-inconsistency. However, it is entirely theoretical with no empirical backtesting or real-world financial data validation.

Research Flowchart

  flowchart TD
    A[Research Goal: Characterize portfolio equilibria under Random Risk Aversion RRA] --> B[Input: Continuous-time model with general RRA distribution]
    B --> C[Derive Deterministic Equilibrium Strategies in Closed Form]
    C --> D{Expectation of RRA}
    D -- Finite E[RRA] --> E[Unique Non-Trivial Equilibrium]
    D -- Infinite E[RRA] --> F[Multiple Equilibria or Unique Trivial Risk-Free]
    F --> G[Select Optimal Equilibrium via Initial Functional Maximization]
    E & G --> H[Comparative Statics: Apply Reverse Hazard Rate Order for Risk Monotonicity]

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