Paper: arXiv 2212.04848

Authors: Shuo Gong, Yijun Hu, Linxiao Wei

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a novel axiomatic approach to evaluating the joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty. Motivated by both the theory of expected utility and the Cobb-Dauglas utility function, we establish a joint risk measure for non-negative multivariate risks, which we refer to as a scalar distortion joint risk measure. After having studied its fundamental properties, we provide an axiomatic characterization of it by proposing a set of new axioms. The most novel axiom is the component-wise positive homogeneity. Then, based on the resulting distortion joint risk measures, we also propose a new class of vector-valued distortion joint risk measures for non-negative multivariate risks. Finally, we make comparisons with some vector-valued multivariate risk measures known in the literature, such as multivariate lower-orthant value at risk, multivariate upper-orthant conditional-tail-expectation, multivariate tail conditional expectation and multivariate tail distortion risk measures. It turns out that those vector-valued multivariate risk measures have forms of vector-valued distortion joint risk measures, respectively. This paper mainly gives some theoretical results about the evaluation of joint risk under dependence uncertainty, and it is expected to be helpful for measuring joint risk.

Complexity vs Empirical Score

  • Math Complexity: 8.5/10
  • Empirical Rigor: 1.5/10
  • Quadrant: Lab Rats — theoretically deep, empirically untested

Why this score: The paper presents a rigorous axiomatic approach to multivariate joint risk measures using advanced mathematical formulation and utility theory. However, it is purely theoretical with virtually no empirical testing, backtesting, or real-world data validation.

Research Flowchart

  flowchart TD
    A[Goal: Evaluate joint risk for non-negative<br>multivariate risks under dependence uncertainty] --> B[Inputs: Non-negative multivariate insurance risks<br>& Cobb-Douglas utility theory]
    B --> C[Establish Scalar Distortion Joint Risk Measure]
    C --> D[Develop Axiomatic Characterization<br>e.g., Component-wise Positive Homogeneity]
    D --> E[Formulate Vector-Valued Distortion<br>Joint Risk Measures]
    E --> F[Outcomes: Theoretical framework & proofs showing<br>existing measures VaR, CTE, TCE are special cases]