Paper: arXiv 2401.08094
Authors: Jingyi Cao, Dongchen Li, Virginia R. Young, Bin Zou
Abstract
We find the optimal indemnity to maximize the expected utility of terminal wealth of a buyer of insurance whose preferences are modeled by an exponential utility. The insurance premium is computed by a convex functional. We obtain a necessary condition for the optimal indemnity; then, because the candidate optimal indemnity is given implicitly, we use that necessary condition to develop a numerical algorithm to compute it. We prove that the numerical algorithm converges to a unique indemnity that, indeed, equals the optimal policy. We also illustrate our results with numerical examples.
Complexity vs Empirical Score
- Math Complexity: 8.5/10
- Empirical Rigor: 2.5/10
- Quadrant: Lab Rats — theoretically deep, empirically untested
Why this score: The paper presents strong theoretical rigorousness with advanced mathematical formulations and convergence proofs for optimal insurance under convex premium principles. However, it lacks empirical validation using real-world market or actuarial data, relying instead on stylized numerical examples.
Research Flowchart
flowchart TD
A["Research Goal: Maximize Exponential Utility of Terminal Wealth"] --> B["Inputs: Exponential Utility & Convex Premium Functional"]
B --> C["Derive Necessary Condition for Optimal Indemnity"]
C --> D["Formulate Implicit Candidate Optimal Indemnity"]
D --> E["Develop Iterative Numerical Algorithm"]
E --> F["Prove Convergence to Unique Optimal Policy"]
F --> G["Outcomes: Verified Optimal Indemnity & Numerical Examples"]