With the introduction of the PSD2 regulation in the EU which established the Open Banking framework, a new window of opportunities has opened for banks and fintechs to explore and enrich Bank transaction descriptions with the aim of building a better understanding of customer behavior, while using t
I show that house prices can be modeled using machine learning (kNN and tree-bagging) and a small dataset composed of macro-economic factors (MEF), including an inflation metric (CPI), US treasury rates (10-yr), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and portfolio size of central banks (ECB, FED). This set o
We study the problem of resource provisioning under stringent reliability or service level requirements, which arise in applications such as power distribution, emergency response, cloud server provisioning, and regulatory risk management. With chance-constrained optimization serving as a natural st
This paper proposes a new algorithm – Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength of the traditional simulated method of moments (SMM) and rece
The printing and labeling industries are struggling to meet the need for more complex and dynamic design requirements coming from the customers. It is now crucial to implement technological advancements to manage workflow, productivity, process optimization, and continual improvement. There has neve
We develop a recursive approach for deriving closed-form solutions to both conditional and unconditional moments of affine jump diffusions with state-independent jump intensities. Using these moment solutions, we construct closed-form density approximations (up to a normalization constant) via momen
Financial scenario simulation is essential for risk management and portfolio optimization, yet it remains challenging especially in high-dimensional and small data settings common in finance. We propose a diffusion factor model that integrates latent factor structure into generative diffusion proces
Maximizing revenue for grid-scale battery energy storage systems in continuous intraday electricity markets requires strategies that are able to seize trading opportunities as soon as new information arrives. This paper introduces and evaluates an automated high-frequency trading strategy for batter
We propose a stochastic game modelling the strategic interaction between market makers and traders of optimal execution type. For traders, the permanent price impact commonly attributed to them is replaced by quoting strategies implemented by market makers. For market makers, order flows become endo
In this study, we employ k-means clustering algorithm of polyspectral means to analyze 49 stocks in the Indian stock market. We have used spectral and bispectral information obtained from the data, by using spectral and bispectral means with different weight functions that will give us varying insig
This paper examines the empirical failure of uncovered interest parity (UIP) and proposes a structural explanation based on a mean-reverting risk premium. We define a realized premium as the deviation between observed exchange rate returns and the interest rate differential, and demonstrate its stro
Large language model-based agents are becoming increasingly popular as a low-cost mechanism to provide personalized, conversational advice, and have demonstrated impressive capabilities in relatively simple scenarios, such as movie recommendations. But how do these agents perform in complex high-sta
We study distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with uncertainty sets consisting of high-dimensional random vectors that are close in the multivariate Wasserstein distance to a reference random vector. We give conditions when the images of these sets under scalar-valued aggregation func
Fundamental and necessary principles for achieving efficient portfolio optimization based on asset and diversification dynamics are presented. The Commonality Principle is a necessary and sufficient condition for identifying optimal drivers of a portfolio in terms of its diversification dynamics. Th
We propose a deep hedging framework for index option portfolios, grounded in a realistic market simulator that captures the joint dynamics of S&P 500 returns and the full implied volatility surface. Our approach integrates surface-informed decisions with multiple hedging instruments and explicitly a
This study analyzes the financial resilience of agricultural and food production companies in Spain amid the Ukraine-Russia war using cluster analysis based on financial ratios. This research utilizes centered log-ratios to transform financial ratios for compositional data analysis. The dataset comp
We derive a functional Itô-formula for non-anticipative maps of rough paths, based on the approximation properties of the signature of càdlàg rough paths. This result is a functional extension of the Itô-formula for càdlàg rough paths (by Friz and Zhang (2018)), which coincides with the change of va
We study the local (in time) expansion of a continuous-time process and its conditional moments, including the process’ characteristic function. The expansions are conducted by using the properties of the (time-extended) Ito signature, a tractable basis composed of iterated integrals of the driving
Dynamic hedging is a financial strategy that consists in periodically transacting one or multiple financial assets to offset the risk associated with a correlated liability. Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) algorithms have been used to find optimal solutions to dynamic hedging problems by framing t
This note gives a bound on the error of the leading term of the $t\to 0$ asymptotic expansion of the Hartman-Watson distribution $θ(r,t)$ in the regime $rt=ρ$ constant. The leading order term has the form $θ(ρ/t,t)=\frac{“1”}{“2πt”}e^{"-\frac{1"}{“t”} (F(ρ)-π^2/2)} G(ρ) (1 + \vartheta(t,ρ))$, where