Financial time-series forecasting remains a challenging task due to complex temporal dependencies and market fluctuations. This study explores the potential of hybrid quantum-classical approaches to assist in financial trend prediction by leveraging quantum resources for improved feature representat
The success of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in 2023 has spurred financial enterprises into exploring Generative AI applications to reduce costs or drive revenue within different lines of businesses in the Financial Industry. While these applications offer strong potential for efficiencies, they introduce new mo
This study explores the application of Hawkes processes to model high-frequency data in the context of limit order books. Two distinct Hawkes-based models are proposed and analyzed: one utilizing exponential kernels and the other employing power-law kernels. These models are implemented within a biv
Cross-validation is a statistical tool that can be used to improve large covariance matrix estimation. Although its efficiency is observed in practical applications and a convergence result towards the error of the non linear shrinkage is available in the high-dimensional regime, formal proofs that
This paper explores the applications of the 20/60/20 rule-a heuristic method that segments data into top-performing, average-performing, and underperforming groups-in mathematical finance. We review the statistical foundations of this rule and demonstrate its usefulness in risk management and portfo
We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but can not be captured simultaneously by the existing financial
This article consolidates and extends past work on derivative pricing adjustments, including XVA, by providing an encapsulating representation of the adjustment between any two derivative pricing functions, within an Ito SDE/parabolic PDE framework. We give examples of this representation encapsulat
We study the asymptotic properties of the GLS estimator in multivariate regression with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors. We derive Wald statistics for linear restrictions and assess their performance. The statistics remains robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation.
We introduce the two-factor Quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) model, where volatility is modelled as a degree-five polynomial of the sum of two Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by the same Brownian motion, each mean-reverting at a different speed. We demonstrate that the model effectively captures
This paper builds on “Collective Arbitrage and the Value of Cooperation” by Biagini et al. (2025, forthcoming in “Finance and Stochastics”), which introduced in discrete time the notions of collective arbitrage and super-replication in a multi-agent market framework, where agents may operate in seve
To quantify the changes in the credit rating of a bond is an important mathematical problem for the credit rating industry. To think of the credit rating as the state a Markov chain is an interesting proposal leading to challenges in mathematical modeling. Since cumulative default rates are more rea
We establish deterministic necessary and sufficient conditions for the no-arbitrage notions “no increasing profit” (NIP), “no strong arbitrage” (NSA) and “no unbounded profit with bounded risk” (NUPBR) in one-dimensional general diffusion markets. These are markets with one risky asset, which is mod
Graph Neural Networks have significantly advanced research in recommender systems over the past few years. These methods typically capture global interests using aggregated past interactions and rely on static embeddings of users and items over extended periods of time. While effective in some domai
The article proposes a method of designing a statistically distinguishable rating scale that is not excessive in relation to the existing observation statistics. This allows for more stable validation with a fixed maximum number of violations of the Wald criterion compared to an excess scale, which
In power markets, Green Power Purchase Agreements have become an important contractual tool of the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable sources such as wind or solar radiation. Trading Green PPAs exposes agents to price risks and weather risks. Also, developed electricity markets feature
The Behrens-Feichtinger model provides a deterministic picture for the co-evolution of sales of two firms, producing the same goods and competing in a common market. The model involves an active investment strategy such that the temporary investment of each of the two firms depends on its relative p
Suppose $μ$ and $ν$ are probability measures on $\mathbb R$ satisfying $μ\leq_{cx} ν$. Let $a$ and $b$ be convex functions on $\mathbb R$ with $a \geq b \geq 0$. We are interested in finding [ \sup_{\mathcal M} \sup_τ \mathbb{E}^{\mathcal M} \left[ a(X) I_{ { τ= 1 } } + b(Y) I_{ { τ= 2 } } \rig
We introduce the deep multi-FBSDE method for robust approximation of coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs), focusing on cases where the deep BSDE method of Han, Jentzen, and E (2018) fails to converge. To overcome the convergence issues, we consider a family of FBSDEs t
We propose Decision by Supervised Learning (DSL), a practical framework for robust portfolio optimization. DSL reframes portfolio construction as a supervised learning problem: models are trained to predict optimal portfolio weights, using cross-entropy loss and portfolios constructed by maximizing
We introduce a novel approach to portfolio optimization that leverages hierarchical graph structures and the Schur complement method to systematically reduce computational complexity while preserving full covariance information. Inspired by Lopez de Prados hierarchical risk parity and Cottons Schur