Strategic Learning and Trading in Broker-Mediated Markets

We study strategic interactions in a broker-mediated market. A broker provides liquidity to an informed trader and to noise traders while managing inventory in the lit market. The broker and the informed trader maximise their trading performance while filtering each other’s private information; the

December 30, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Dynamic Spillover Effect Investigation on Cryptocurrency Market Before and After Pandemic

This paper distinguishes between risk resonance and risk diversification relationships in the cryptocurrency market based on the newly developed asymmetric breakpoint approach, and analyzes the risk propagation mechanism among cryptocurrencies under extreme events. In addition, through the lens of n

December 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Machine and Deep Learning for Credit Scoring: A compliant approach

Credit Scoring is one of the problems banks and financial institutions have to solve on a daily basis. If the state-of-the-art research in Machine and Deep Learning for finance has reached interesting results about Credit Scoring models, usage of such models in a heavily regulated context such as th

December 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal Execution Strategies Incorporating Internal Liquidity Through Market Making

This paper introduces a new algorithmic execution model that integrates interbank limit and market orders with internal liquidity generated through market making. Based on the Cartea et al.\cite{“cartea2015algorithmic”} framework, we incorporate market impact in interbank orders while excluding it f

December 28, 2024 · 1 min · thequant.space

TradingAgents: Multi-Agents LLM Financial Trading Framework

Significant progress has been made in automated problem-solving using societies of agents powered by large language models (LLMs). In finance, efforts have largely focused on single-agent systems handling specific tasks or multi-agent frameworks independently gathering data. However, the multi-agent

December 28, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Assets Forecasting with Feature Engineering and Transformation Methods for LightGBM

Fluctuations in the stock market rapidly shape the economic world and consumer markets, impacting millions of individuals. Hence, accurately forecasting it is essential for mitigating risks, including those associated with inactivity. Although research shows that hybrid models of Deep Learning (DL)

December 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Hidformer: Transformer-Style Neural Network in Stock Price Forecasting

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer models, from their inception to their adaptation for time serie

December 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Quantiles under ambiguity and risk sharing

Choquet capacities and integrals are central concepts in decision making under ambiguity or model uncertainty, pioneered by Schmeidler. Motivated by risk optimization problems for quantiles under ambiguity, we study the subclass of Choquet integrals, called Choquet quantiles, which generalizes the u

December 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Robust and Sparse Portfolio Selection: Quantitative Insights and Efficient Algorithms

We extend the classical mean-variance (MV) framework and propose a robust and sparse portfolio selection model incorporating an ellipsoidal uncertainty set to reduce the impact of estimation errors and fixed transaction costs to penalize over-diversification. In the literature, the MV model under fi

December 27, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Malliavin Calculus Approach to Backward Stochastic Volterra Integral Equations

In this paper, we establish existence, uniqueness, and regularity properties of the solutions to multi-dimensional backward stochastic Volterra integral equations (BSVIEs), whose (possibly random) generator reflects nonlinear dependence on both the solution process and the martingale integrand compo

December 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A System of BSDEs with Singular Terminal Values Arising in Optimal Liquidation with Regime Switching

We study a stochastic control problem with regime switching arising in an optimal liquidation problem with dark pools and multiple regimes. The new feature of this model is that it introduces a system of BSDEs with jumps and with singular terminal values, which appears in literature for the first ti

December 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Minimal Batch Adaptive Learning Policy Engine for Real-Time Mid-Price Forecasting in High-Frequency Trading

High-frequency trading (HFT) has transformed modern financial markets, making reliable short-term price forecasting models essential. In this study, we present a novel approach to mid-price forecasting using Level 1 limit order book (LOB) data from NASDAQ, focusing on 100 U.S. stocks from the S&P 50

December 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Sentiment trading with large language models

We investigate the efficacy of large language models (LLMs) in sentiment analysis of U.S. financial news and their potential in predicting stock market returns. We analyze a dataset comprising 965,375 news articles that span from January 1, 2010, to June 30, 2023; we focus on the performance of vari

December 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Travelling wave solutions of an equation of Harry Dym type arising in the Black-Scholes framework

The Black-Scholes framework is crucial in pricing a vast number of financial instruments that permeate the complex dynamics of world markets. Associated with this framework, we consider a second-order differential operator $L(x, {\partial_x}) := v^2(x,t) (\partial_x^2 -\partial_x)$ that carries a va

December 26, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Dynamic Portfolio Optimization: Evidence from China's Stock Market

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional portfolio optimization methods in dynamic asset weight adju

December 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A mathematical framework for modelling CLMM dynamics in continuous time

This paper develops a rigorous mathematical framework for analyzing Concentrated Liquidity Market Makers (CLMMs) in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) within a continuous-time setting. We model the evolution of liquidity profiles as measure-valued processes and characterize their dynamics under continuous

December 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Developing Cryptocurrency Trading Strategy Based on Autoencoder-CNN-GANs Algorithms

This paper leverages machine learning algorithms to forecast and analyze financial time series. The process begins with a denoising autoencoder to filter out random noise fluctuations from the main contract price data. Then, one-dimensional convolution reduces the dimensionality of the filtered data

December 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation in General Incomplete Markets A Nonlocal BSDE-based Feedback Control Approach

This paper studies dynamic mean-variance (MV) asset allocation problems in general incomplete markets. Besides of the conventional MV objective on portfolio’s terminal wealth, our framework can accommodate running MV objectives with general (non-exponential) discounting factors while in general, any

December 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Generalized Mean Absolute Directional Loss as a Solution to Overfitting and High Transaction Costs in Machine Learning Models Used in High-Frequency Algorithmic Investment Strategies

Regardless of the selected asset class and the level of model complexity (Transformer versus LSTM versus Perceptron/RNN), the GMADL loss function produces superior results than standard MSE-type loss functions and has better numerical properties in the context of optimization than MADL. Better resul

December 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Indices of quadratic programs over reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces for fun and profit

We give an abstract perspective on quadratic programming with an eye toward long portfolio theory geared toward explaining sparsity via maximum principles. Specifically, in optimal allocation problems, we see that support of an optimal distribution lies in a variety intersect a kind of distinguished

December 24, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space