In the analysis of commodity futures, it is commonly assumed that futures prices are driven by two latent factors: short-term fluctuations and long-term equilibrium price levels. In this study, we extend this framework by introducing a novel state-space functional regression model that incorporates
This paper provides a review of recent publications and working papers on ChatGPT and related Large Language Models (LLMs) in accounting and finance. The aim is to understand the current state of research in these two areas and identify potential research opportunities for future inquiry. We identif
This study explores the comparative performance of cutting-edge AI models, i.e., Finaance Bidirectional Encoder representations from Transsformers (FinBERT), Generatice Pre-trained Transformer GPT-4, and Logistic Regression, for sentiment analysis and stock index prediction using financial news and
Fourier pricing methods such as the Carr-Madan formula or the COS method are classic tools for pricing European options for advanced models such as the Heston model. These methods require tuning parameters such as a damping factor, a truncation range, a number of terms, etc. Estimating these tuning
Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (LETFs), while extremely controversial in the literature, remain stubbornly popular with both institutional and retail investors in practice. While the criticisms of LETFs are certainly valid, we argue that their potential has been underestimated in the literature due
A simple model-free and distribution-free statistic, the functional relationship between the number of “effective” degrees of freedom and portfolio size, or N*(N), is used to discriminate between two alternative models for the correlation of daily cryptocurrency returns within a retail universe of d
Temporal Graph Learning (TGL) is crucial for capturing the evolving nature of stock markets. Traditional methods often ignore the interplay between dynamic temporal changes and static relational structures between stocks. To address this issue, we propose the Dynamic Graph Representation with Contra
Markovian projections arise in problems where we aim to mimic the one-dimensional marginal laws of an Itô semimartingale by using another Itô process with Markovian dynamics. In applications, Markovian projections are useful in calibrating jump-diffusion models with both local and stochastic feature
We present a novel Bayesian framework for quantifying uncertainty in portfolio temperature alignment models, leveraging the X-Degree Compatibility (XDC) approach with the scientifically validated Finite Amplitude Impulse Response (FaIR) climate model. This framework significantly advances the widely
We study the drivers of the Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) excess bond premium (EBP) through the lens of the news. The monthly attention the news pays to 180 topics (Bybee et al., 2024) captures up to 80% of the variation in the EBP, and this component of variation forecasts macroeconomic movements.
This paper aims to study the prediction of the bank stability index based on the Time Series Transformer model. The bank stability index is an important indicator to measure the health status and risk resistance of financial institutions. Traditional prediction methods are difficult to adapt to comp
In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and accommodate stylized facts embedded in financial time series, we rely
This study explores the application of generative adversarial networks in financial market supervision, especially for solving the problem of data imbalance to improve the accuracy of risk prediction. Since financial market data are often imbalanced, especially high-risk events such as market manipu
Portfolio management is an important yet challenging task in AI for FinTech, which aims to allocate investors’ budgets among different assets to balance the risk and return of an investment. In this study, we propose a general Multi-objectIve framework with controLLable rIsk for pOrtfolio maNagement
In today’s complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between assets, find it difficult to effectively cope with dynamic m
An investment portfolio consists of $n$ algorithmic trading strategies, which generate vectors of positions in trading assets. Sign opposite trades (buy/sell) cross each other as strategies are combined in a portfolio. Then portfolio turnover becomes a non linear function of strategies turnover. It
This paper discusses a nonlinear integral equation arising from portfolio selection with a class of time-inconsistent preferences. We propose a unified framework requiring minimal assumptions, such as right-continuity of market coefficients and square-integrability of the market price of risk. Our m
Unequal access to costly datasets essential for empirical research has long hindered researchers from disadvantaged institutions, limiting their ability to contribute to their fields and advance their careers. Recent breakthroughs in Large Language Models (LLMs) have the potential to democratize dat
This study employs an event study methodology to investigate the market impact of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) classification of crypto assets as securities. It explores how SEC interventions influence asset returns and trading volumes, focusing on explicitly named crypto asse
Current deep learning-based calibration schemes for rough volatility models are based on the supervised learning framework, which can be costly due to a large amount of training data being generated. In this work, we propose a novel unsupervised learning-based scheme for the rough Bergomi (rBergomi)