Implementing Dynamic Pricing Across Multiple Pricing Groups in Real Estate

This article presents a mathematical model of dynamic pricing for real estate (RE) that incorporates multiple pricing groups, thereby expanding the capabilities of existing models. The developed model solves the problem of maximizing aggregate cumulative revenue at the end of the sales period while

November 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

New approaches of the DCC-GARCH residual: Application to foreign exchange rates

Two formulations are proposed to filter out correlations in the residuals of the multivariate GARCH model. The first approach is to estimate the correlation matrix as a parameter and transform any joint distribution to have an arbitrary correlation matrix. The second approach transforms time series

November 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal two-parameter portfolio management strategy with transaction costs

We consider a simplified model for optimizing a single-asset portfolio in the presence of transaction costs given a signal with a certain autocorrelation and cross-correlation structure. In our setup, the portfolio manager is given two one-parameter controls to influence the construction of the port

November 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Reinforcement Learning Framework for Quantitative Trading

The inherent volatility and dynamic fluctuations within the financial stock market underscore the necessity for investors to employ a comprehensive and reliable approach that integrates risk management strategies, market trends, and the movement trends of individual securities. By evaluating specifi

November 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

The relationship between general equilibrium models with infinite-lived agents and overlapping generations models, and some applications

We prove that a two-cycle equilibrium in a general equilibrium model with infinitely-lived agents (GEILA) constitutes an equilibrium in an overlapping generations (OLG) model. Conversely, an equilibrium in an OLG model that satisfies additional conditions is part of an equilibrium in a GEILA model.

November 12, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

An Empirical Implementation of the Shadow Riskless Rate

We address the problem of asset pricing in a market where there is no risky asset. Previous work developed a theoretical model for a shadow riskless rate (SRR) for such a market in terms of the drift component of the state-price deflator for that asset universe. Assuming asset prices are modeled by

November 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Asymptotic Properties of Generalized Shortfall Risk Measures for Heavy-tailed Risks

We study a general risk measure called the generalized shortfall risk measure, which was first introduced in Mao and Cai (2018). It is proposed under the rank-dependent expected utility framework, or equivalently induced from the cumulative prospect theory. This risk measure can be flexibly designed

November 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Estimation of the Adjusted Standard-deviatile for Extreme Risks

In this paper, we modify the Bayes risk for the expectile, the so-called variantile risk measure, to better capture extreme risks. The modified risk measure is called the adjusted standard-deviatile. First, we derive the asymptotic expansions of the adjusted standard-deviatile. Next, based on the fi

November 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Portfolio credit risk with Archimedean copulas: asymptotic analysis and efficient simulation

In this paper, we study large losses arising from defaults of a credit portfolio. We assume that the portfolio dependence structure is modelled by the Archimedean copula family as opposed to the widely used Gaussian copula. The resulting model is new, and it has the capability of capturing extremal

November 11, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Fully Analog Pipeline for Portfolio Optimization

Portfolio optimization is a ubiquitous problem in financial mathematics that relies on accurate estimates of covariance matrices for asset returns. However, estimates of pairwise covariance could be better and calculating time-sensitive optimal portfolios is energy-intensive for digital computers. W

November 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

ajdmom: A Python Package for Deriving Moment Formulas of Affine Jump Diffusion Processes

We introduce ajdmom, a Python package designed for automatically deriving moment formulae for the well-established affine jump diffusion processes with state-independent jump intensities. ajdmom can produce explicit closed-form expressions for conditional and unconditional moments of any order, sign

November 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Intergenerational cross-subsidies in UK Collective Defined Contribution (CDC) funds

We evaluate the performance and level of intergenerational cross-subsidy in flat-accrual and dynamic-accrual collective defined contribution (CDC) schemes which have been designed to be compatible with UK legislation. In the flat-accrual scheme, all members accrue the benefits at the same rate irres

November 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Optimal Execution with Reinforcement Learning

This study investigates the development of an optimal execution strategy through reinforcement learning, aiming to determine the most effective approach for traders to buy and sell inventory within a finite time horizon. Our proposed model leverages input features derived from the current state of t

November 10, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

A Random Forest approach to detect and identify Unlawful Insider Trading

According to The Exchange Act, 1934 unlawful insider trading is the abuse of access to privileged corporate information. While a blurred line between “routine” the “opportunistic” insider trading exists, detection of strategies that insiders mold to maneuver fair market prices to their advantage is

November 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

BreakGPT: Leveraging Large Language Models for Predicting Asset Price Surges

This paper introduces BreakGPT, a novel large language model (LLM) architecture adapted specifically for time series forecasting and the prediction of sharp upward movements in asset prices. By leveraging both the capabilities of LLMs and Transformer-based models, this study evaluates BreakGPT and o

November 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Sensitivity Analysis of emissions Markets: A Discrete-Time Radner Equilibrium Approach

Emissions markets play a vital role in emissions reduction by incentivizing firms to minimize costs. However, their effectiveness heavily depends on the decisions of policymakers, future economic activity, and the availability of abatement technologies. This study investigates how variations in regu

November 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

The lexical ratio: A new perspective on portfolio diversification

Portfolio diversification, traditionally measured through asset correlations and volatilitybased metrics, is fundamental to managing financial risk. However, existing diversification metrics often overlook non-numerical relationships between assets that can impact portfolio stability, particularly d

November 9, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Approaching multifractal complexity in decentralized cryptocurrency trading

Multifractality is a concept that helps compactly grasping the most essential features of the financial dynamics. In its fully developed form, this concept applies to essentially all mature financial markets and even to more liquid cryptocurrencies traded on the centralized exchanges. A new element

November 8, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Enforcing asymptotic behavior with DNNs for approximation and regression in finance

We propose a simple methodology to approximate functions with given asymptotic behavior by specifically constructed terms and an unconstrained deep neural network (DNN). The methodology we describe extends to various asymptotic behaviors and multiple dimensions and is easy to implement. In this work

November 8, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space

Filling in Missing FX Implied Volatilities with Uncertainties: Improving VAE-Based Volatility Imputation

Missing data is a common problem in finance and often requires methods to fill in the gaps, or in other words, imputation. In this work, we focused on the imputation of missing implied volatilities for FX options. Prior work has used variational autoencoders (VAEs), a neural network-based approach,

November 8, 2024 · 2 min · thequant.space